The Kurdish Deal With Syria Might Lead To Trump Doing A Military Withdrawal Out Of Syria, Which Will Only Empower Turkey

Syria’s new rebel government has made a deal with the YPG (now known as the SDF). The Kurdish force has agreed to relinquish its control over its territory in Syria’s northeast and to integrate themselves with the Syrian military. As we read in AP News:

Syria’s interim government signed a deal Monday with the Kurdish-led authority that controls the country’s northeast, including a ceasefire and the merging of the main U.S.-backed force there into the Syrian army.

The deal is a major breakthrough that would bring most of Syria under the control of the government, which is led by the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham that led the ouster of President Bashar Assad in December.

The deal was signed by interim President Ahmad al-Sharaa and Mazloum Abdi, the commander of the U.S.-backed, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces.

The deal to be implemented by the end of the year would bring all border crossings with Iraq and Turkey, airports and oil fields in the northeast under the central government’s control. Prisons where about 9,000 suspected members of the Islamic State group are also expected to come under government control.

Syria’s Kurds will gain their “constitutional rights” including using and teaching their language, which were banned for decades under Assad. Hundreds of thousands of Kurds, who were displaced during Syria’s nearly 14-year civil war, will return to their homes.

This may have a major effect on the US military’s presence in Syria. There are 2,000 American soldiers currently stationed in Syria, and they were put there to help the Kurds fight ISIS. Trump has been wanting to withdraw those soldiers even during his first term. If the Kurds make “peace” with the Turks and the new Syrian government, then Trump could then use this to justify full military withdrawal from Syria, which would only further empower the Turks in Syria. On March 2nd of 2025, Haaretz published an article that stated that if there is peace between the YPG and Turkey, Trump could then have his window of opportunity to do a military withdrawal, with the the idea that Turkey could then take care of Syria. Remember, on March 1st of 2025 the PKK (a Kurdish terrorist organization) agreed to a ceasefire with Turkey after decades of war. The next day, Haaretz published an article speaking of Turkey’s “master plan” to control Syria and how this “master plan will require Syria’s president to integrate Kurdish forces into Syria’s army”. Well, the Kurds in Syria just agreed to this. The very article then goes on to say:

Now that Congress is on Trump’s side and relations with the “international community,” namely the European states, look like an arm-twisting competition accompanied by spitting, Syrian and American commitment to the Kurds will not be at the top of the White House’s list of priorities.

Trump may now be persuaded that his friend Erdogan can replace the Kurds in the war against ISIS, thereby ending American involvement in Syria.

In February of 2025, it was reported that the Defense Department has been preparing for a military withdrawal from Syria, as we read in MSNBC:

The Defense Department is developing plans to withdraw all U.S. troops from Syria, two U.S. defense officials told NBC News on Tuesday.

President Donald Trump and officials close to him recently expressed interest in pulling U.S. troops out of Syria, the officials said, leading Pentagon officials to begin drawing up plans for a full withdrawal in 30, 60 or 90 days.

If the US does do a complete military withdrawal, it will mean a further empowerment for Turkey in Syria. This explains why Israel lobbied for the US to not pressure the Russians to leave Syria, because they feel safer with Russia there as a check against the Turks as opposed to Turkey being the biggest power in Syria. Israel’s Nagel Committee recently announced that Israel must prepare for a possible war with Turkey.

Eventually Israel and Turkey will clash.

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