The Cold War that existed between the U.S. and the Soviet Union for nearly fifty years after World War II was perhaps more feared by Western civilization than a similar war that is manifesting itself between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The previous cold war was part of western civilization’s collective consciousness; it was pervasive. The new one is practically ignored by the masses. If ever there was misplaced, disproportionate, and even inverted apathy, Iran’s nuclear ambitions take the yellow cake.
In 1985, Sting (yes, we know he’s a liberal) recorded a song entitled ‘Russians’. It was about the U.S. and Russia each loving their children, which was the biggest deterrent to nuclear war. This dynamic would not be much of a factor in Iran’s decision to launch nuclear weapons.
We have always taken great interest in the enmity that exists between Iran and Saudi Arabia. As Walid has explained for years, Isaiah 21 explains Elam (Iran) destroying Media (Saudi Arabia, Dedan, Kedar, Tema). Today, largely as a result of the Obama administration’s nuclear dealings with Iran, it looks like a U.S. / Soviet Union style cold war between the two nations may be heating up.
Tension is rising between long-term rivals Iran and Saudi Arabia in what commentators are likening to a “Cold War” scenario which is increasing geostrategic risk in the Middle East.
While the two powers have long competed for regional dominance – albeit more covertly — recent developments have pulled them into a more open battle.
“We are starting to see something resembling a Cold War type scenario. I think tensions will probably get worse in the coming years” Torbjorn Soltvedt, principal analyst for the Middle East and North Africa at Maplecroft, told CNBC in a telephone interview.
He pointed to the interim agreement on Iran’s nuclear power, agreed between the country and six world powers, as a potential destabilizing factor leading to a shift in policy.
The United States has traditionally guaranteed Saudi Arabia’s security in the region. In particular, it acted as a buffer against powers such as Iran. However the opening of relations between the United States and Iran risks undermining this.
Predictably, the longer the war in Syria rages, the more tense the relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia become. Both sides are incredibly invested in victory. As we reported earlier this week, official Saudi documents reveal that on one day alone, orders were given to release more than one thousand terrorists and criminals into Syria by the Saudis to fight alongside the rebels. These prisoners had been given death sentences that were replaced by a ‘dirty dozens’ option. Such a move on the Saudis’ part signifies desperation and a pull-out-all-the-stops mentality.
Geneva convention? In the Middle East? Seriously?!
As the investment in success from both sides increases, the accuracy of the old adage about all being fair in love and war increases as well.
Again, via CNBC:
As the civil war in Syria smoulders, Iran and Saudi Arabia continue to arm opposing sides. Iran is supporting its client Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Saudi Arabia continues to back the Islamist rebels.
“In Syria the stakes are very high. Assad’s fall would significantly reduce Iran’s ability to support Hezbollah in Lebanon and influence events there” Soltvedt told CNBC.
The conflict in Syria is aggravating decades of civil strife in neighboring Lebanon. Hezbollah – the Shia militant group and party backed by Iran – is unequivocally supporting the Assad regime. This is inflaming an already fractious relationship between Sunni and Shia Muslims in Lebanon.
While Iran is active in Lebanon through its ally Hezbollah, Saudi Arabia’s influence is more limited. But rising tensions are pulling both powers in.
One cannot predict if the current situation will lead directly to Iran nuking Saudi Arabia but in the end, which could be next week, next century, or any unknown time in the future, the dynamic to pay very close attention to is the one that exists between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The Bible indicates that Saudi Arabia is the harlot of Babylon. Isaiah 21 names Elam (Iran) and various regions that exist in modern day Arabia (Dedar, Tema, Kedar).
If the CNBC report is correct – that the Saudis and the Iranians are entering a cold war phase – it would mean a nuclear threat posed by two nations that puts the U.S./Soviet Union Cold War to shame.
As the Obama administration-led dealings with Iran were being revealed last year, it was Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal who explained that the real threat to his country came from Iran, not Israel. In fact, Alwaleed even expressed a desire and hope that Israel would strike Iran.
Please feel free to watch this entire video from early 2012 but the relevant part about Saudi Arabia and Iran begins at the 5:30 mark when Walid explains he is certain that Iran will acquire nuclear weapons: