Prophecy Is Taking Shape As Iran Is Now Conquering Northern Iraq And Forming Its Shiite Crescent

By Walid Shoebat

We have been saying it all along, that whenever ISIS is defeated in Iraq, Iran will move in. While the media says that “Iraqi forces took over Kirkuk this week”, reality is it was Iran and not Iraq that took Kirkuk. The military operation of today and yesterday was carried out under the banner of the Iraqi military, sure, but the ground forces were Iranian-backed Shiite militias which even included the aid from Al-Quds Force which was lead by Qassem Soleimani who bribed certain elements of U.S allied Kurdish factions to cut and run abandoning their positions. This opened the runway for the Iranian backed Shiites to take over Kirkuk.

The Kurds of Kirkuk (biblical Medes) read the writing on the wall that Babylon is now in the hands of the Persians and one hundred thousand Kurds fled Kirkuk. With the return of Kirkuk to Iran’s puppet, the balance of power appears to have shifted between the ethnic communities in the Kurdish-majority city to the delight of its Turkmen residents. We have always maintained that the issue is not Sunni versus Shiite, the Turkmen (ethnic Turks) allied to Turkey are Sunni and the Iraqi forces that took over Kirkuk are Shiites.

And besides Iran’s interests, Turkey has interest in Kirkuk’s Turkmen and Iran now has control over the richest oil spot in the region (40% of Iraq’s oil). Iran, the biblical bear, is eating its share of flesh to soon devour all three ribs that make up Iraq, the biblical lion, which had its wings plucked by the U.S after it ousted Saddam out of power.


Kurdistan (biblical Media) is defeated and has no power in the unfolding event since the bear (Medo-Persia) rises only on one side; Persia without Media. The latter is defeated and its hope to form a state is shattered.

Image: Iranian Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani

Iranian Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani

Its always the case in warfare, the smaller dog, in this case the Kurds who defeated ISIS simply cleared the runway for the bigger dog: Iran to control northern Iraq, and Turkey to control northern Syria. Both will swallow much territory in the coming future and the U.S. can do very little for the Kurds. When it comes to nations there is no such thing as permanent allies.

And it should be to no surprise that Turkey, a Sunni rival to Iran came out to confirm its support for Iran’s backed Shiites to enter into Kirkuk. Kirkuk’s Turkmen (Sunnis) welcomed Iran’s militia. Last August, a spokesman for the Turkish presidency, Ibrahim Kalan, said of the city: “Yes, the Kurds and the Arabs, but the basic identity of Kirkuk is a Turkmen city.”

Turkey has a historic interest in Kirkuk since Ottoman times. Last month, a slogan by Turkish President Erdogan was written in the Ottoman script on the walls of Kirkuk: “Recep Tayyip Erdogan ‘we may come suddenly one night'”. Erdogan promised that one day he will enter northern Iraq, suddenly and by surprise. It seems that Iran beat him to the punch or else they combined efforts to divide the region to form their two crescents: Shiite and Sunni, but this time united.

The U.S. concern and meddling in the Middle East should teach us a lesson: throw out one tyrant (Saddam) from Iraq and you will get ISIS; drive ISIS out of Iraq and you will get Iran; get rid of Iran and Turkey will move in; get rid of Turkey and the Middle East will finally be at rest. At least this is what happened when the Ottoman Empire was finally bruised. Will westerners learn from the lesson’s that Jesus gave: get rid of one demon and a host of other demons will enter. Never fight one evil. All evils must be equally fought.

It is all about regional interests. In fact, the U.S. knew about Iran’s intents. Haider al-Abadi stated “At a minimum, the U.S. knew that the attack was coming.”

Iran’s entering Kirkuk is for a reason. Years ago we stated:

The U.S. is gazing away from the encroaching Iranian forces taking up forward positions in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, where they are busy fashioning a Shiite Crescent that encircles Sunni Arab states as well as Israel … They key to advancing these agendas is ISIS. While we rejoice when we see ISIS lose battles, what many fail to see, is that ISIS is the chip used to make all the moves to bolster two tyrannies, Iran and Turkey.

We were correct because we try to study scriptures to correct our errors. Today ISIS is pretty much gone, Turkey (the biblical Leopard) is flexing its muscles and Iran (the bear) is already consuming.

Back in 2015 we predicted:

“the US will allow Iran to reach the status of a pre-nuclear power and regional hegemon, while Tehran, in return, will send “boots on the ground” to fight in Iraq, Syria and even Afghanistan, allowing “the bear to eat much flesh” (Daniel 7:5). Iran through Iraq, we have always maintained, will prove the linchpin in an area of Iranian influence among predominantly Shiite governments and organizations that stretched across Iraq, Yemen, Syria, Lebanon, and the Gaza Strip. This zone has been variously described as an Iranian or Shiite “Arc of Influence” or the Shiite Crescent.”

These days prophecy is being fulfilled faster than ever. Kirkuk is strategic. Not only does it have vast oil resources, Iran’s takeover eliminates any possibility for an independent Kurdish state to emerge from the Kurdish Regional Government area in northern Iraq. We have been saying this for a while now since the “bear” (Medo-Persia) will arise on one side. This is Iran’s rise (Persia) without the Medes (the Kurds).

Iran had an edge over Turkey in Iraq for several reasons. Iran’s skilful use of Shia militias gives it an edge over Turkey’s direct military intervention, which is unwelcomed by the Iraqi government in Baghdad. Also, the Iraqi government officials (Shiites) have been very critical of the ‘illegal’ Turkish military presence in Northern Iraq so Turkey’s incursions will not gain Iraqi government support. For Iran, Iraq is strategically more important than any other Arab country since it shares more than 1400 km of its borders with Iraq. After Saddam’s fall, Iran played a significant role in shaping Iraq’s new political system and is why it is often described as an ‘Iranian puppet government’.

The next to be taken over is Sinjar city, close to the border with Syria and with that Iran can begin its long awaited program we spoke about: to form the Iranian Crescent.

These two crescents, the Iranian ‘Shiite-Crescent’ and the ‘Sunni Crescent’ led by Turkey will eventually form the pincer around Jerusalem.

Shiite Crescent

Indeed, it is Iran (not Iraq or Turkey) that is taking over the richest land (Kirkuk). Besides Iran’s Al-Quds Force, in Iraq the main military militia force is Asaib Ahl al-Haq (League of the Righteous) that is backed by Iran. Besides Asaib Ahl alHaq, there are the Badr Brigades, formed in the 1980s during the Iran-Iraq War, and the younger and more secretive Kataib Hezbollah, which is regarded as a terrorist organization by the State Department. The three militias have been instrumental in battling ISIS, the rival Wahhabist Sunni sect. These militias are the three small Iraqi Shi’ite armies, all backed by Iran, which together have become the most powerful military force in Iraq since the collapse of the national army and are key to Iran’s power and influence inside neighboring Iraq.

While experts foresee a historical Ottoman-Persian rivalry in Mesopotamia we see it differently. What we see is a unity between the two since Turkey is Sufi and has kinship to Shiites sine the religious apparatus of Iran are Azeri Turks. Secondly, the neo-Ottoman Turks are warming its relations and increasing economic and energy ties with Iran and its other Muslim neighbors. Turkey’s economy is growing, and Iran is the only land corridor for Turkey to reach Asia and Iran’s needs are similar. With the Eurasian and E.U dealings Turkey will soon play a significant part to form an economic superpower with Germany and Northern Europe to lead the global economy. Germany and Turkey have been allies since 1871 when Germany was founded as a nation.

Turkey is treading very carefully not to be seen as, effectively, a Sunni power grouped with the Arab states’ agenda in Iraq or the Wahhabists agenda of Saudi Arabia. Prophetically speaking this will be the case since Persia and Turkey will unite against Jerusalem while Arabia (Sheba and Dedan) condemn this coalition and stand on the sidelines.

In conclusion, the Middle East is not that complex to understand. The problem is the oversimplification by westerners who want simplified answers. The problem with most people is that they always think that there is only one demon.  When the U.S. overthrew Saddam Hussein’s Ba’athist government it resulted in the emergence of a Shia dominated government in Baghdad replacing it with an Iraqi Shiite government friendly to Tehran. Today no one can argue that this decision eliminated Iraqi Sunnis from the equation. These have been an existential threat to the Islamic Republic of Iran and had tipped the local balance of power significantly in Tehran’s favor. As a result of NATO’s supposed exorcizing one demon they simply brought in other demons like ISIS and now Iran and Turkey. So everyone said that we need to eliminate ISIS. We said this does not make a single bit of difference and in fact ridding the world from ISIS will be worse. We stated years ago that:

“once Iran cleans the ISIS mess in Iraq, we will all rejoice. Iran will be happy, the U.S. will be happy, while all we’ve done is chase out ISIS while Iran’s Shiite militias are already running amok in Iraq. All that, while Israel awaits the outcome, that when Sunni and Shiite want to put aside their differences in efforts to stabilize the region will begin by uniting both the Shiite and Sunni crescents, the two horns, the pincer if you will, by focusing and switching their energy towards Jerusalem … The West will be happy to get rid of ISIS out of Iraq, while Iran will be happy to camp in Iraq permanently.”

It takes years later for the foolish masses to understand that what excites them and tickles their ears today will depress them tomorrow when they only find out their folly after its too late. These always try to cast out a single demon. Fools will always scorn the watchman who warns of the multitude of demons. Christianity is not about fighting ISIS or Islam exclusively; it is about combating all evil.


  • Eric

    And we continue to watch the peices fall into place. Indeed, there is not only one demon, but legions. This is what many forget. There are many forms of evil, on all fronts, and we must combat them all. Evil has multiple faces–not just one.

    • Julie LaBrecque

      So true – so true. I su

    • Kamau41

      Absolutely, Superman.

    • LJW

      Eric, are the three ribs; Syria, Lebanon and Jordan because they are bordering Iraq? I can not remember if Walid wrote about the three ribs in the past in another article. If you can recall an article and title that would be great. Any help is appreciated.

  • Brick

    One thing I had learned from’s articles is to read nations as “geographic” instead of “historic”. Come to think of it, history always repeats with geographical rivalries that manifest in different forms…

  • MicahJames

    Walid, if Turkey is the leopard, what are its 4 heads (or don’t we know yet)? I stated previously (probably 6 months ago) that I think the 4 beasts are America (lion), Russia (bear), The UK (leopard) & the 4th beast is Islam……just interested because the first 3 beasts exist beyond the slaying of the 4th beast according to Daniel 7…..

  • Kamau41

    “Will westerners learn from the lesson’s that Jesus gave: get rid of one demon and a host of other demons will enter. Never fight one evil. All evils must be equally fought.” Perfectly said.

    Prophecy is being fulfilled faster than what most think. Everything continues to be right on track.

    Excellent update!!

    • Richard Dalessandro

      I read this in bed last night while my wife was nursing our daughter and said I said it’s speeding up. I think she has doubted something’s of prophetic insight I’ve shared via walid and Theo. The look on her face was priceless as she said you talked about this awhile ago…. “Yes yes I know”

    • John Magne Trane

      You just reminded me of another thing I’ve been thinking of. How the Nazis fooled people when they rooted out their own SA, and people thought “Oh, now they’ve only got the good guys left”. But those who took over for the SA were the SS…

  • Cuzick

    It’s not suprising the focus on evangelization by Pope Francis as Bible Prophecy is unfolding before us just as Abouna Shoebat has foretold. Let us continue to pray for the Church in the New Evangelization.

  • Darren Neufeldt

    It’s nice to see these posts again, but at the same time absolutely terrifying as well IMHO. As much as I want to see prophecy unfold in my lifetime, I also don’t want to see it as that means we are one or more prophecies closer to final judgment. Even though I am confident in my confessionals that I am forgiven, I dread with fear and trembling the day it comes.

    Excellent article brother Walid, excellent article indeed.

    • Grandmere

      Darren, when is your surgery? I’m still praying for you. Let us know so we can all pray together, brother.

      • Darren Neufeldt

        Thank you for your prayers Grandmere, they mean a lot.

        It seems that so far there is no date scheduled for my surgery and for the foreseeable future. For whatever reason I was not on the waiting list I thought I was on, which by itself doesn’t really bother me, but I am on the list for the surgeon that I was originally wanting (I only switched because the surgeon recommended him and he could see me sooner). So, I wait, but at least I know that I am going to have the best surgeon, and most experienced, in my area. But I will definitely keep everyone posted when I know a date.

        Also, I have been praying for you and Susan as well, so I hope God has been good to the two of you. I just haven’t been praying as much as I want to lately, as it seems that life, and more pressing matters that I’m not at liberty to say, has a way of distracting me lately.

        • Grandmere

          Okay, bro. I’ll just nag him about your pressing matters while I’m at it.

          • Darren Neufeldt

            You’re too kind 🙂

  • Kevin Nicholson

    “Christianity is not about fighting ISIS or Islam exclusively; it is about combating all evil.”

    Indeed: modernism / ecumenism / religious freedom…already inside the gates.

  • AnthonyM

    Pleasant surprise to see this article, and it is right on current events. Good insight. Just a few days ago it was reported that many Kurds were coming from other areas to fight for Kirkuk, Now just as quickly, they vanished like smoke.

  • ace

    Madonna delle Grazie, Udine [Italy] pray for us.

    There is an interesting history to this miraculous icon. Her Feast day is celebrated on the 4th Sunday in October which is coming up on 22 October this year. “When Sir John Emo was serving as Venetian ambassador to Constantinople, Sultan Mohammed II [Mehmed the Conqueror] gave him a Byzantine-style icon of the Virgin nursing the Child…”

  • OrthodoxChristianAmerican

    When I think of modern Iran Walid, I cannot help but to think of the final Roman-Persian war, Emperor Heraclius who saved civilization and recovered the true cross, and crushed megalomaniacal Shah Khosrow II of Sassanid Persia and ended his dreams of recovering the original Persian Empire which we know from the Bible.

    It’s almost as if in my mind, the whole time between 628 AD and today has been a break from the resumption of that war, and that perhaps Antichrist will have Turkey and Iran in his grasp, and much else besides.

    Saddam Hussein in his propaganda during Iraq’s war with Iran, always more than hinted that Iran was then ruled by Crypto-Magi, pretending to be Islamic clerics, covert Zoroasterian ‘Fire-Worshippers’, but I haven’t found any links to that old 1979-1988 accusation.

    Whatever the case, your focus on the Middle Eastern-centric aspect of Biblical Prophesy has yielded much fruit and broke a lot of false teaching out there about the End Times. I appreciate it.

  • JohnTB

    Just an opinion:
    Is it not better to focus on God and his will? We pray that he will “lead us not into temptation and deliver us from evil”. And St. Paul instructs us to “put on the whole armor of God, so that you may be able to resist when the evil day comes”. Also from Ephesians, “take up the shield of faith which will enable you to quench all the fiery darts of the evil one.”

  • DaKardii

    I have two things to say about this article.

    First, I’ve been predicting (in private) that Turkey and Iran would team up to divide the Middle East for about two years now.

    The idea first came into my head after I read a report that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected a Saudi bankruptcy by 2020. Over the last few years, Saudi Arabia has been very irresponsible with its finances. It has been borrowing billions of dollars from other countries and international financial institutions in order to fund its proxy wars against Iran. Meanwhile, its ability to produce its own revenue has been hurt by rising international competition in the oil and natural gas markets. More recent reports indicate that the Saudis have been ignoring the IMF’s warning and continue to spend their way to oblivion.

    I do not expect the Saudi state to survive should this bankruptcy scenario occur. It is so dependent on the oil and natural gas industry, that increased international competition would make it virtually impossible for it to pay its bills. It would enter an unprecedented financial crisis, that would occur simultaneously with growing religious tensions between Saudi citizens who are either non-Wahhabist Sunnis, or Shiites. Now, Saudi Arabia hasn’t reached that point yet, but as it gets closer, its influence on the rest of the Arab world will wane. Back then, I predicted that Turkey and Iran would use the opportunity to expand into the Levant (and later into the Arabian peninsula once Saudi Arabia collapses), and I’m being proven right as I type.

    Second, after I read this article, I did some research to figure out just how powerful a “Turanian Caliphate” consisting of just Turkey, Iran, Iraq, and Syria would be. The findings I made are disturbing.

    First, I went on Global Firepower, which has developed an index that measures military power, using over 50 different factors such as population, area, GDP, oil production, gold reserves, military spending, number of tanks, number of ships, number of aircraft, etc. For this index, the lower the number, the more powerful the country.

    So I added the reciprocals of the indices for those four countries, and found the reciprocal of that number, to find the index number of a potential Turanian Caliphate.

    The result? It would have the fourth most powerful military in the world. Only the US, Russia, and China would be more powerful militarily.

    Second, I went on Google’s Public Data Explorer. This website hosts a large collection of data gathered by the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, with topics ranging from agriculture to economics to education to infrastructure to transportation. Among these topic is “International Politics,” which contains two different graphs (one by Global Power Index and the other by Hillebrand Herman) projecting the global geopolitical balance of power up to the year 2070, measured in percentage of global power.

    I proceeded to add the percentages for those four countries to see how powerful a potential Turanian Caliphate would be according to those graphs.

    The Global Power Index projects that the Turanian Caliphate would be the tenth most powerful country in the world if it formed today. It would move up to the number nine spot by 2020, to the number eight spot by 2046, to the number seven spot by 2052, and to the number six spot by 2053. By 2053, only China, India, the US, France, and the UK will be more powerful than the Turanian Caliphate. It would surpass Russia in power by 2046.

    The Hillebrand Herman projection is much scarier. The Turanian caliphate would be the sixth most powerful country in the world if it formed today. It would move up to the number five spot by 2023, and to the number four spot by 2024. By 2024, only China, the US, and India would be more powerful than the Turanian Caliphate. It would surpass Russia in power by 2023, the same year that Erdogan wants his “2023 vision” fulfilled by.

    And note this is when the caliphate contains ONLY Turkey, Iran, Iraq, and Syria. That’s just Erdogan getting started.!ctype=c&strail=false&bcs=d&nselm=s&met_y=POWERGPI&fdim_y=scenario:1&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&ifdim=country&pit=1666324800000&hl=en_US&dl=en_US&ind=false

    Boy, do we live in interesting times.

  • CTyank

    While I don’t wish to criticize men with the courage here to say controversial things in a dangerous world, I too have greatly missed Walid’s wisdom and unique perspective. He has made me think deeply about the Faith, my own soul, and the doctrines I’ve been taught for years. He has caused me to appreciate and long for a Faith that is at once ancient and new. I hope to find it. Hang in there…

  • Brotha

    I was watching a YouTube video from a catholic priest all his videos are call “Sensus Fidelium “ really interesting things to learn and he also speaks how Protestants are no different from Muslims and all the enemies of the church!

    Their mission is the same one (destroy the holy church) but we all know it’s not gonna happen. So Protestants, most of them unaware of that they are doing are doing Satan’ job!
    Really sad for them

  • OrthodoxChristianAmerican

    ”the truth is not for wimps and candy-asses”, my grandfather (who was a veteran of WW2 in the Pacific and the Korean War) used to say.

  • bubba

    pray for the peace of Jerusalem!

  • richinnameonly

    Bravo, Walid! You have been consistent on several things and you have proven to be right so far.

  • John Magne Trane

    With a land connection clearly seen by all on the map, the level of detail in the prophecies only continues to astound.