By Walid Shoebat (Shoebat Exclusive)
Saudi Arabia which over a billion Muslims worship towards its direction for prayers began its war using oil to control both Russia and Iran. This war will not hurt the U.S. much, but will cause Mecca’s destruction. How all this will unfold must be explained from all angles, biblical, Islamic, economic and demographic.
Firstly, from the biblical perspective. Why so many use the Bible to predict the end of the U.S. is beyond me. While the U.S. has its share of sin, it is not the greatest persecutor of the Church. Most ignore that Saudi Arabia is the causer of more death of Christians than any other entity from the dawn of time by her production of two; Islam and Oil.
Islam caused so many nations throughout history to butcher millions upon millions of Christians. Islam and oil are the only two that Saudi Arabia produces while she harlots as the Salome during Christ’s first coming luring every Herod to decapitate every Baptist. What few know is that according to Josephus, John the Baptist was not beheaded in Jordan but in Arabia. This is significant.
Oil is so crucial that even God addressed it in a time when it was insignificant: “And the streams of Edom shall be turned to pitch and her soil to sulphur; Her land shall become burning pitch; Night and day it shall not be quenched and its smoke shall go up forever; From generation to generation it shall lie waste; No one shall pass through it, forever and ever”. [Isaiah 34:9-10]
Note the reference to pitch, which is a by-product of oil, and Saudi Arabia has the world’s largest reserves of oil. It will be totally destroyed. And to all who want to argue that “Edom” here is Jordan, perhaps they might take such an argument to God: “I will stretch out my hand against Edom and cut off from it humans and animals, and I will make it desolate; from Teman to Dedan they shall fall by the sword”. [Ezekiel 25:13] God’s hand or arm is Messiah (see Isaiah 53 “to whom has the arm [Messiah, God’s right arm] of the Lord been revealed”)
Secondly, from an Islamic perspective Jalal al-Din Rumi, by far the most prestigious sufi scholar in Islam’s entire history, explained how Mecca (the Kiblah in Islam) will be no more the direction of prayers to Muslims:
the Light of God to face the wall of the prayer niche (direction of prayer) has assuredly turned his back on Mecca, since God’s Light is the soul of the Kiblah [the Ka’bah] (Rumi, Service done for God is proof of divine favor, in The Complete Discourses of Jalal al-Din Rumi, discourse 3, p. 17, ed. Louis Rogers)
This is quite telling; what its saying is that the Muslim leader becomes the Kiblah, or the person to whom Muslims would pray towards him. Therefore, a Muslim leader, a Caliph can declare that he is the light of God, and Muslims from all over the world will pray towards him; he will become the new Kiblah, with the multitudes of Muslims praying to his direction.
How all this will come about, we shall make it simple for a shepherd to understand. With about 20 percent of the world’s proven oil reserves and producing between 10 and 13 percent of the global oil usage, Saudi Arabia is the world’s leading oil producer ahead of the U.S., China, Iran and Canada. Perhaps more importantly, with its developed and easily accessible oil fields, Saudi Arabia has some of the lowest “lifting costs” in the world. Some estimate that it only costs the Saudis less than $5 to extract a barrel of oil from its fields. This is stark contrast to the much higher costs in rival countries and offshore and of shale producers. This permits the Saudis to withstand a protracted price slump far easier than other countries. The Saudis can use this ability as a weapon to achieve its strategic ends.
While the current dip in energy prices clearly does hurt Saudi Arabia, it thinks that it hurts her enemies far more, particularly Iran and Russia, which has been a key enabler of Iranian power and an international pariah on its own. Putting pressure on Russia has also become a key strategic interest of Washington. Petroleum sales are 50% of Russia’s income, and are also central for Iran and Iraq.
The Saudis are using cheap oil to wreck Iran’s economy and discourage American energy exploration. The latter doesn’t seem to be working too well, but the former sure is. (via Religion of Peace)
The Saudi approach is clever because it devalues Iranian exports. Unlike sanctions, there’s no point in smuggling out anything when you’ve devalued the entire product. The Saudis have the resources, the deep pockets and the network to do something like this and while it won’t stop Iran’s nuclear program, it will cause assorted problems, not least by making the whole empty spectacle of negotiations appear worthless.
Riyadh is “flooding the market,” a technique it has used in the past, of pumping a lot of oil even in the face of weakening market demand, thus driving the price down.
Saudi Arabia is annoyed at Russia over Moscow’s support for the Bashar al-Assad regime in Damascus which supports the US in the latter’s annoyance with Russia over Ukraine. Saudi is also perpetually annoyed with Iran, its Shiite rival that also supports al-Assad and the civilian nuclear enrichment program of which it fears for its dual-use, weapons potential. And Saudi Arabia is threatened by the rise of hydraulic fracturing as a way to produce petroleum, which detracts from the centrality of the vast Saudi reserves, the very element which made her sleep at night thinking that she has no end.
But all this has a price, Saudi Arabia is ticking off not only Russia, Iraq and Iran, its arch enemies, a two-day meeting hosted by Oman last week broke up in acrimony, with opposing sides at odds over the slump in oil prices.
The Saudi delegation, led by Muqrin bin Abdulaziz al-Saud, the kingdom’s deputy crown prince and former spy chief, dismissed Iranian pleas to rein in oil production and stabilise the market.
Since the first oil shocks following the 1973 Middle East War, the Saudis have understood the role they can play in regional and world affairs by turning the taps on and off.
But Saudi Arabia’s poker game is loosing her lovers, recently, as the US upped its production, it would have been reasonable to assume that Saudi would have correspondingly cut surplus supply to maintain a healthy balance sheet. But instead Riyadh has done the opposite.
From Riyadh the world looks like a grim place, and the Saudis have a host of concerns that they feel are not being addressed adequately, either by their allies in the West or by their partners in the region, her end is near and her doom is certain.
Many experts talk of a Cold War between Saudi and Iran, where on every major issue of regional concern an Iranian gain is viewed by the Saudis as a loss, and for the House of Al Saud alarm bells are ringing.
In their view the US has effectively caved in, and allowed Iran off the hook.
The Iranians were not supposed to be allowed any domestic uranium enrichment capacity, let alone get paid $7bn for the privilege.
The Arab Gulf countries additionally expressed their political backing for Egypt’s President Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi. It marks a pivot for Qatar, which backed former Islamist President Mohammed Morsi, who al-Sisi ousted from power amid widespread protests last year when he was defense minister.
Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain formally withdrew their ambassadors from Qatar in March in a move widely seen as a protest over Doha’s support for Islamist groups like the Muslim Brotherhood, of which Morsi was a leading member. They reinstated ambassadors last month after an agreement was reached.
Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE consider the Brotherhood a “terrorist group” and see the 86 year-old movement as a political threat and to Turkey the Brotherhood is its key to get back at Egypt. Turkey also has become an x-lover which will also chime in at Saudi Arabia’s destruction.
Yet the US and Europeans have spent months looking at ways to creatively offer Iran’s “moderate” President Hassan Rouhani economic crumbs to appease the hardliners back in Tehran, yet to no avail.
For the Saudis the mild mannered Rouhani is friendly manifestation of a regime that seeks to dominate the Middle East, and which is trying desperately to be accepted by the world.
Iran’s reach across the Middle East region worries Saudi even more than its nuclear programme.
In Iraq, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has to assist northern areas of Iraq, including Kurdish border regions or else ISIS would be rampant in all but the most distinctly Shia regions of the country. So between ISIS and Iran, Saudi Arabia must deal not with one, but two enemies. In Syria, as the US-led coalition strikes ISIS, the pressure on Iranian ally Bashar al-Assad appears to have lifted to help fight the bigger threat of ISIS which boosts Iran, Saudi’s enemy even further. Propped up by Iranian money and proxies such as Hezbollah, and cushioned with Security Council support by Russia, Assad looks to be safe, for now until Turkey arises to consume much flesh in Syria and Egypt, but even that still brings even a greater enemy to Saudi’s Adam’s apple, Turkey.
To make matters worse on the Kingdom’s southern and eastern borders,Shia rebels in Yemen, and protestors in Bahrain, only contribute to the sense that the Kingdom is being strangled by Iranian power from all sides.
In the midst of the chaos from which Iran seems to be profiting so well, Saudi Arabia has taken the decision that it has to hit back. And given that Riyadh would prefer not to be drawn into a military confrontation with the Iranians, it has had to seek other ways to confront Iran. The easy way it can do this is by picking Tehran’s back pocket.
Iran’s economy is heavily reliant on hydrocarbons, which make up some 60% of its export revenue and provided 25% of total GDP in 2013. Deeply committed to the fight in Syria, and Iraq, the Iranians are spending untold millions of dollars a month to maintain their operations in the two countries, all the while attempting to placate potential domestic unrest. Interestingly, the Iranians proposed cutting Opec output ahead of the November conference only for the Saudis to rebuff them.
Additionally, the Saudis get a chance to deal Russia, Bashar al-Assad’s stalwart ally, a bloody nose, by driving down the cost of oil and hurting Moscow’s hydrocarbon revenue streams, which prop up a shaky domestic economy. As oil prices have fallen so has the value of Russia’s Rouble, plummeting 35% since June. Killing two birds with one stone would seem a smart policy, especially since it is highly unlikely to result in the sort of military escalation the Saudis wish to avoid. But Russia’s ally, Iran is key for Russia to get back at Saudi Arabia which the Iranians see Wahhabism as the main reason Shiites are getting beheaded by ISIS.
The Shiites, the lovers of Ali, Muhammad’s nephew are screaming out. “Ali is the vicar of Allah” the song goes which permeates the language of the streets in Tehran and Iraq. “We will defeat our opponent and we will uproot that evil state” is Saudi Arabia. “The anger of Ali is exploding, Allahu Akbar, we came to renew Khaybar, we have pin-pointed our target”. This target is Saudi Arabia. Khaybar is Saudi Arabia. It is the move of Elam to annihilate Arabia as predicted by the ancient Jewish prophet Isaiah in chapter 21:
“The burden against Dumah” (Isaiah 21:11)
“The burden against Arabia” (Isaiah 21:13)
“All the glory of Kedar will fail” (Isaiah 21:16)
These are all in Arabia, which is destroyed by Iran “Elam” (Isaiah 21:2). So crucial is this prophecy that Isaiah levels a prophetic oracle against it calling Arabia “Babylon” using the same announcement in Revelation 18:1-2 and Revelation 14:8: “Babylon is fallen, is fallen”.
So where are the false prophets whom by equating the United States with ‘Mystery Babylon’ yet hating their own nation, the United States, proclaimed doom on their own country while proclaiming they serve God? The United States gave us converts from Islam our freedom, a nation worthy to fight for, even for a foreigner like myself. Shame on all these false prophets, have them face us in such debate and we will expose them, yet none of them will come forth. Our enemy is Saudi Arabia, not Rome or New York. Who dares to compare Protestant arguments with Rome over Catholicism to even compare to the divide between Elam (Shiite Iran) and Arabia which is in Scripture? And where are all the theologians discussing this part of Scripture? Was Elam mentioned regarding a historic event in ancient Babylon when its right in front of our faces on news and video of the masses culminating for war?
How long can you, this harlot, Saudi Arabia keep your game up? Realistically a few months, but if the price of oil keeps falling you have to rethink your strategy? Eventually you will pay the price for the Baptist St. John the Revelator for His blood still cries out through Smerna and the Armenians who are in heaven. God will direct the very people who shed their blood to shed yours and dash your little ones against the rocks:
Daughter Babylon, doomed to destruction,
happy is the one who repays you
according to what you have done to us.
Happy is the one who seizes your infants
and dashes them against the rocks. (Psalms 137-8-9)
Sure, Saudi has a few years. The Kingdom sits on $741bn of currency reserves and posted a $15bn surplus at the end of last fiscal year, and the Saudis can absorb the cost of budget deficits for a few years if needs be. But this cannot last indefinitely Saudi Arabia had a recent mega-arms purchases which has been completed and the Kingdom’s future defence expenditure is projected to fall in the coming two or three years in order to free up cash for other endeavors. And although Riyadh has tried to stamp its authority on the region, which will undoubtedly cause headaches in Tehran and Moscow, the oil weapon cannot reverse some of the more critical issues facing the region, especially that now ISIS runs an entity roughly the size of Britain across Iraq and Syria, its hostility to the “Al Salool” (a derogatory term for the Al Saud family) recently made clear in a 17 minute speech by its Caliph Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. And then we have the cheap oil from ISIS territory will continue to flow, earning ISIS millions a day in revenue, and although the Saudis have had notable success in striking ISIS targets, it is not enough to ensure their defeat unless the US and Iran openly cooperate to solve the issue, which may result in grudging acquiescence from the Riyadh.
Likewise, the Saudis will have to grudgingly accept that some form of deal between Iran and the P5+1 (US, Russia, China, UK, France and Germany) will have to be struck, if regional war is to be avoided. It is the best of a bad series of options, and recent attempts by the Saudis to diplomatically engage their Iranian counterparts, particularly on regional security issues like Islamic State appear to be positive. But the mistrust is still deep, and the threat of ISIS appears not to have stopped the Kingdom in its drive to blunt Iran. (See BBC Report)
This debate was a major theme running though the recent Manama Dialogue organised by the International Institute of Strategic Studies in Bahrain last week, where some argued that key players Saudi Arabia and Iran needed to start a bilateral process. But they acknowledged that that would require a totally new level of trust between the two regional powers. Does anyone expect Shiites and Sunnis who agreed never to agree, to agree anytime soon? Others took an even more ambitious look at a wider process involving the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Iran and Iraq, and anyone else within shouting distance, which may also include Egypt and Turkey.
For Saudi Arabia, a Houthi takeover of western Yemen is a major danger. Adnan al-Hashem, a researcher in the Gulf of Iranian affairs and politics says that the “Iranians are looking for a foothold in the Arabian Peninsula to put pressure on the Saudis, and to be close to the Strait of Bab el Mandeb in the event of war.” Israel also cannot remain indifferent to the new Iranian stronghold on the seaway that connects it to Africa and Asia.
For anyone who doubts, Saudi Arabia is doomed, just look around the region, the threat environment has changed dramatically, the Gulf states are facing a three-front war from chaos in Syria and Iraq, violence that is headline news in every household in the Gulf and on Saudi Arabia’s southern border with Yemen, there is another uprising, where Houthis, Shiite rebels linked to Iran, recently swept into the capital, Sanaa and on Egypt’s border with Libya, ISIS supporters, led by a Saudi preacher, have captured the northeastern town of Derna and declared allegiance to the so-called ISIS-created caliphate. Experts add that the control of the port of Hodeidah makes Shi’ite Iran and behind the major players in the Red Sea, and is not excluded that the Iranian leadership looming control of navigation through international Bab al-Mandab as what is going on with the Strait of Hormuz in the east.
All this caused Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states to realize that a noose is getting tighter and have caused them to develop a new aggressive posture since the U.S. is pulling back from the region and that U.S. relations with Iran are warming up. Gulf leaders are now on the front line of the ISIS threat at home, a threat understood there much better than in Washington.
Our detractors who focus mostly on Iran listening to Netanyahu’s outcries fearing Iran’s influence do not understand, God is in control over Israel’s destiny, He is first moving the chips to take care of the real causer of all the suffering, Saudi Arabia.
And now with U.S. oil companies having invested heavily in horizontal oil drilling and so-called fracking to increase well yields. U.S. domestic oil production has risen significantly over the past five years and now approaches 8 million barrels per day based on data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
In conclusion, history is the best lesson. Saudi Arabia’s move will backfire. For example, the reduction in Saudi Arabia for oil prices which was used to pressure Saddam Hussein which led the occupation of Kuwait which led to his ouster which led to the destruction of his country which led to the emergence of a Iraqi leadership that is hostile to and loyal to Iran which threatens Saudi stability and the entire demographic makeup of the region. Ticking off Putin is not the same as ticking off Boris Yeltsin, Russia has a junkyard dog that will be unleashed in time; Iran.
In the meanwhile, Christ love for His bride must be heard in Divna Ljubojevic’s beautiful voice in Hebrew style in The Song of Solomon:
SONG OF SOLOMON I opened for my beloved, but my beloved had hidden and was gone; my soul went out when he spoke; I sought him, but found him not; I called him, but he did not answer me (Shir HaShirim, 5:6 ) What is your beloved more than another beloved, O fairest of women? What is your beloved more than another beloved, that you have so adjured us? (Shir HaShirim, 5:9) His eyes are like doves beside rivulets of water, bathing in milk, fitly set. (Shir HaShirim, 5:12) I adjure you, O daughters of Jerusalem, if you find my beloved, what will you tell him? That I am lovesick. (Shir HaShirim, 5:8 ) What is your beloved more than another beloved, O fairest of women? What is your beloved more than another beloved, that you have so adjured us? (Shir HaShirim, 5:9) His palate is sweet, and he is altogether desirable; this is my beloved, and this is my friend, O daughters of Jerusalem